This G20 is destined to become an international conference that will go down in history and will become a watershed in the development of China and the world. The world's center of gravity will further shift to China, and China will also usher in the most thrilling upgrade!
Part One: Personal Chapter
1. For every Chinese, the five key words of traditional struggle: background, education, resources, connections, and qualifications; the five key words of future struggle: knowledge, innovation, independence, personality, and ideals. In the past, it was not as good as having a good father to learn mathematics, physics and chemistry well. Now, having a good father is not as good as being educated yourself. China's "new intellectuals" will return to the stage of history.
2. The Chinese are changing from "seeking from outside" to "seeking from within." External seeking means seeking relationships, channels, and opportunities. Internal seeking means stimulating your own interest, enthusiasm, and hope. When you are yourself, things from the outside world will be attracted to you. This is the so-called "seeking for others rather than seeking for yourself."
3. A large number of freelancers are emerging in China, and the basic structure of society has changed from company + employees to platform + individuals. Everyone will break through the shackles of tradition and get a chance to be reborn. The key depends on whether you have stimulated your own potential energy. This is a true liberation movement!
4. The social status of a large number of "craftsmanship" people in China will be improved. Those down-to-earth people such as craftsmen, programmers, designers, screenwriters, writers, artists, etc., because the Internet has completed the construction of the social framework, and the rest is to fill the soul! Therefore, even in ordinary jobs, their social status will be improved and they will gain respect.
5. In the future, everyone will be an independent economy. That is, you can complete a task independently, or you can rely on collaboration and organization to implement systematic projects. Therefore, society is neither lacking in minutiae cultivators, nor is it lacking in organizations and teams capable of executing vast projects.
6. It turns out that each of us is bound by the wooden principle, that is: your shortcomings limit your overall level, so we are always making up for our shortcomings, and as people's collaboration efficiency improves. Your strengths will determine your level from now on. We no longer need to focus on our own shortcomings. You only need to maximize what you are good at, and others will cooperate with you. This is called the longboard principle.
7. Our work is moving from "passive" to "active". In the past, in order to make a living, we needed to rely on fixed companies and repeat fixed labor at a fixed time and place, which was passive labor. The total wealth of the future society will be created in this way: people rely on their own expertise, point-to-point docking and fulfillment of every need, and are fully integrated into every aspect of society, which is proactive creation.
8. For everyone in the future, one thing will become particularly important in the future, and that is your credit. The future personal wealth route is as follows: behavior - ability - credit - personality - wealth. With the help of big data and the Internet, your behavior deduces your credit value. Then, with credit as the fulcrum, ability as the lever, and personality as the driving force, the combined power range is your wealth value and the size of the world you control.
9. The way for Chinese people to become famous has gone through three stages: company packaging - participating in the draft - becoming an Internet celebrity. At the beginning, I relied entirely on film and television entertainment companies for packaging. Later, it became popular to participate in various talent shows, such as Super Girl/The Voice of China, etc., and now I am starting to become an Internet celebrity/female anchor, etc. The key question is: in the Internet age, becoming famous is not difficult. What is difficult is to have real talents that can make you famous for a long time.
10. In the past, relationships were important between people, but in the future, rules were important between people. The relationship network of traditional society has been continuously torn apart. New links are being formed based on value distribution. Everyone is a node for value transmission. Your status and level are determined by the value you bring. When everyone follows the rules, morality will naturally arise.
11. In the future, everyone will be able to have their own products. How to achieve this? The logic should be like this: creativity-expression-display-order-production-customer. When you have an idea, you can first express it and then display it on the platform (there will be more and more such platforms), and then attract people who like it to place an order. After getting the order, you can find a factory to produce it (don’t worry about the quantity being too small, future production will definitely be refined and customized), and then send it to consumers.
12. The logic for Chinese people to find faith is this: rules - order - morality - faith. Specifically: the Internet is helping China establish a reasonable social structure, allowing everyone to exert their own strengths and operate according to the rules. On this basis, a new order is formed, such as the spirit of contract. Observing order is morality, and then faith will come naturally.
13. It turns out that we only believe in our own eyes. Seeing is believing. But as “virtual reality” technology gradually matures, we are no longer so stubborn: VR can put you in any world, and AR can bring anything to you. So seeing is no longer true. From now on, we may only believe in our own hearts. As long as our hearts touch and think, everything will happen. Then everything outside the mind is false.
14. The relationship between people in primitive society is "exchange", the relationship between people in slave society is "slavery", the relationship between people in feudal society is "exploitation", the relationship between people in capitalist society is "employment", and the relationship between people in future society is "collaboration". This is the development path of human society and the ladder of civilization progress, and no link can be missing.
Part 2: Enterprise
15. The structure of China’s industries: one-dimensional traditional industry – two-dimensional Internet industry – three-dimensional intelligent technology industry. The one-dimensional world is being torn down and rebuilt (reorganization of the real economy), the two-dimensional world is being divided (controlled by BAT), and the three-dimensional world is taking shape. High dimensions always have advantages when challenging low dimensions, and the attack on dimensionality reduction is almost certain to win! Therefore, online stores can break up physical stores, and WeChat’s opponents must be born in the smart field. The real fun is yet to come!
16. After revolutionizing traditional enterprises, the Internet began to revolutionize itself. Sina, Yahoo, Sohu, and NetEase are the first batch of Internet companies to become traditional enterprises. Alibaba, Taobao, Baidu, and JD.com are the second batch of Internet companies to become traditional enterprises. Tencent will be the third batch of Internet companies to become traditional enterprises.
17. China’s current enterprises are divided into three levels: third-rate enterprises are engaged in services, second-rate enterprises are engaged in products, and first-rate enterprises are engaged in platforms. The only way out for enterprises is to upgrade to platformization. The essence of platformization is to provide creators with opportunities to create value and turn themselves into a value creation platform. In the future, all companies, enterprises, and organizations will be platform-based.
18. The original enterprise developed horizontally: it became bigger and bigger, and its scope became wider and wider. Therefore, the more companies do, the easier it is for them to engage in "homogeneous competition." In the future, companies will develop vertically: they will become more refined and dig deeper and deeper. This change will make the industry more vertical and more collaborative. As a result, China has become increasingly segmented, its structure has become more sophisticated, and the independence between enterprises and industries has become stronger and stronger. "Differentiated coexistence" has become the mainstream of business.
19. It turns out that first-class companies set "standards". This is the logic of the big industrial era. All products are uniform, and the setters of standards can sit back and enjoy the results. In the future, first-class companies will provide "services" that can meet various consumers and various needs, and are often customized. It requires two aspects of the company: the first is the ability to provide customization (technology), and the second is the ability to connect with consumers (Internet)
20. The era of "employment" has passed, and the era of "partnership" has begun. No matter how much money you are willing to pay, it is difficult to hire a good person unless you partner with him. Be bold and magnanimous and transfer your shares. The sea is full of rivers, and tolerance is great.
21. The evolution of China’s e-commerce: B2B—B2C—C2C—C2B—C2F, from merchants to merchants, to merchants to individuals, individuals to individuals, individuals to merchants, and ultimately individuals to factories. In the future, every product will know who its customer is before it is produced. The era of personalization has arrived, and even transnational production and customization are coming.
22. The evolution of China’s Internet: Traditional Internet - Mobile Internet - Internet of Everything. The traditional Internet is the PC Internet, which solves information symmetry; the mobile Internet solves efficient docking; the future Internet of Things needs to solve the problem of Internet of Everything: free sharing of data and distribution of value on demand. Everyone uses their talents and needs, so that everyone can find someone who matches them, and then have various relationships.
23. The evolution theory of Chinese media: traditional media - new media - self-media - information flow. The media is moving from centralization to divergence, from unity to control. The rise of self-media will form a useful complement to traditional media. It will cause China's right to speak to split. Ordinary people are eager to participate in the decision-making power of public affairs. For example, who should be invited to the annual Spring Festival Gala? It has become a public matter that everyone wants to participate in. In the future, everyone will be a self-media, and the emergence of information flow will make the media disappear.
24. The evolution theory of China’s marketing industry: media is king – technology is king – content is king – product is king. Traditional advertising always relies on the power of the media to influence people, such as CCTV's bidding. Later, Internet advertising began to rely on technology to achieve precise placement, such as placement by region, revenue, and time period. Later, the rise of social media enabled good advertisements to spread spontaneously. In the future, the best advertisements must be the products themselves, and the best products must also have advertising effects.
25. The flow of China’s industrial chain is counterattacking. In the past, there was production first and then consumption: producer-distributor-consumer. The future must be about consumption first and then production: consumer - designer - producer. Therefore, the traditional dealer group will disappear, and designers who can transform consumers' ideas into products will appear in large numbers.
26. In the future, all "dealers" will become "service providers". They no longer rely on helping manufacturers sell products (earning the price difference) to make money, but rely on themselves to provide subsequent value-added services to consumers to make money. This is conducive to their creativity and initiative, and is also conducive to the after-sales of products.
Part Three: Country
27. The driving force behind China's economic growth is "power-driven" - "market-driven" - "demand-driven". The initial reform and opening up was guided by the government, so the role of power was very important. Later, it gradually switched to market leadership, but this led to disorderly competition and overcapacity. In the future, all production will be based on consumer demand as the starting point and the goal of creating value.
28. The evolution theory of China’s economic model: planned economy – market economy – sharing economy – communist economy. In the "planned economy" stage, China implemented "production according to plan and consumption according to plan". Later, it started a "market economy" and China began to "produce according to the market and distribute according to profit." In the era of Industry 4.0, we began to abide by "production according to consumption and distribution according to value." In the future, China will definitely "produce according to demand and distribute according to demand" and create infinitely close to demand. This is communism.
29. The essence of China’s business is switching from “birds of a feather flock together” to “people flock together”. This sentence has two meanings: first, the original center of society is "things" (products, commodities), and people follow things; the center of future society is "people". This is the time when things move with people and people are the center of things. Second, the original social structure was classified according to “items”, but the future society will be classified according to “groups of people”. People with the same hobbies and ambitions can easily gather together. The future society will be very interesting. Some people will not be able to understand other groups of people at all. Gentlemen are harmonious but different.
30. China’s Internet has spawned three emerging economic forms: individual economy - sharing economy - gig economy. The "individual economy" is the rise of freelancers, which symbolizes freedom; the "sharing economy" is when people begin to share their own resources, which symbolizes sharing; the "gig economy" is when people take the initiative to serve others, which symbolizes dedication; these three new models continue to encroach on the mainstream business model and are unveiling a new business civilization.
31. China’s economy is undergoing fission first and then fusion. Fission refers to the large-scale rupture of enterprises and organizations, and the release of many freelancers. At the same time, these free individuals are constantly reorganized. In order to jointly complete a big task, they are flexible, independent, and highly collaborative. What is certain is that whether it is fission or fusion, a large amount of energy can be released. This is the basic principle of atomic bombs and hydrogen bombs.
32. China’s urban pattern is being rewritten. "Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen" are becoming "Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hangzhou". The decline of traditional trade has pushed Guangzhou down, while the rise of cross-border e-commerce has helped Hangzhou rise to the top. In the future, China's urban pattern should be "Beijing's power regulation + Shanghai's financial operations + Shenzhen's smart technology + Hangzhou's e-commerce."
33. China's economic center of gravity is moving south. As China's important ports, steel, shipping and other giant companies are merged by the south, the south will focus on industry and commerce, and the north will focus on labor and resource export. This is conducive to the stratification of China's industrial structure and entering a stage of regional coordinated development.
34. It turns out that the basic cell of China is "enterprise". Every "demand" and "supply" in society is often completed by business to business, and in the future, the basic cell in China is the "individual." Both supply and demand sides are becoming more individualized, and China's social structure will become increasingly sophisticated and detailed. You can make this analogy: If China's economy is a blood circulation, then its capillaries will be richer in the future, and its transport and oxygen supply energy will be more powerful.
35. The highest state of the rule of law is the rule of man, and the highest state of the rule of man is no rule. What is no cure? That is to say, mutual restraint is based on the relationship of interests. In the Internet era, everyone has countless connection points with the outside world. Relying on these connection points, everyone's situation will be directly bound to their own behavior. Greed, laziness, and ignorance, as the negative aspects of human nature, will be naturally restrained.
36. China will have no jobs in the future. The essence of part-time work is to sell one's own labor power at a fixed price without bearing the consequences. As the employment era ends, you must take the initiative to think and solve problems, and try your best to use your strengths to create value for society and others, otherwise you will have no value in existence. Therefore, the way Chinese people work is upgrading from “making a living” to “creating”.
37. China will have no business to do in the future. In traditional society, only business can be done because the asymmetry of information makes the "supply" and "demand" of society always misaligned. This requires businessmen's business behavior to connect them and make profits from them. The business foundation built by the Internet will become more and more complete, and the two can be accurately connected at any time in the future. All the intermediate links are gone, and the logic of making a profit does not exist. The word "doing business" needs to be redefined, and the thinking of Wenzhou people is completely out of date.
38. The core of China's business competition has gone through three stages: location - traffic - fans. Real estate operates on location, traditional Internet operates on traffic, and self-media operates on fans. In the past, if there was no investigation, there would be no right to speak. In the future, if there are no fans, there will be no right to speak. The future is a battle between "influence" and "charisma", and the instant linkage of "core fans" is the "gravitational wave" of future business.
39. China’s Internet platforms are moving from “cross-border interconnection” to “merger and monopoly”. Once a platform monopolizes the market, it will formulate its own rules for the industry, which will create a new order.
40. The dividend period for China’s spiritual civilization is coming. The progress of traditional material civilization has begun to slow down, because industrialization has completed the layout of various hard facilities in society, the period of barbaric material growth has passed, and the Internet has completed all links, flexible content has begun to grow fiercely, and the new cultural industry is a growth point.
41. Private property in China will be more sacred in the future. Everyone's behavior will revolve around interests, and the goals are simple and clear. Wealth distribution no longer needs to rely on government leadership, but is a fair and open value return. Gathering everyone's private interests will become the common good of society. This will make the people rich and the country strong.
42. The Chinese people’s wealth form has gone through four stages: food stamps (the power to spend money) - deposits (cash figures) - real estate (fixed assets) - valuation (virtual wealth). The future form of wealth must be valuation or market value, which tends to be virtual and abstract, just a number. That is: how much wealth you have does not mean that you can spend the money casually, but it means that you have the power to control the money. The amount of wealth means the size of the resources to be mobilized. The essence is that the entire society is becoming more and more shared, open and public.
43. The fundamental logic of China’s progress is: science and technology – business – economy. Scientific and technological progress is the most fundamental driving force, which will then trigger business restructuring and then change the economic system of society. Therefore, if the prosperity of our business model is not based on technological innovation (entity), it will definitely cause an economic bubble.
44. The core difference between "economy" and "politics" is: the core of economy is "innovation". We must often make breakthroughs before the economy can develop. But the core of politics is "balance." It is like a scale, and extra money must be added to the plate while maintaining balance. If you understand this, you will become less angry.
45. The relationship between "economy" and "culture" is this: the period of economic slowdown is the period of cultural renaissance. The cultural renaissance is precisely the period when the economy is brewing and bottoming out, and will lead to the next leap in the economy. After reading so many economics books, Shuimuran discovered that the most powerful thing is traditional Chinese culture. The elements of the culture such as forbearance, forbearance, modesty, and harmony must be brought into play before the economy can enter a state of sustainable cyclic development.
46. China will build a great "super Internet company" in the future, taking BAT into its pocket. Through efficient collaboration and industry segmentation, it will optimize the allocation of various resources in society, including various large and small, noisy parts. Not a screw is wasted, not a soul is given up, and the entire society is brought into a great cycle of value creation and absorption. The shareholders of this super company are the people, the CEO is the government, and the employees are civil servants.
In short, the above changes are all working towards the same direction, that is, everyone can use their talents, everyone takes what they need, and harmony without difference can lead to great unity.